Field notes
On killing bad ideas before they eat three months.
- July 24, 2026 · 8 min readShould you quit your job to start a business? Write the threshold first
Most advice tells you how to feel about quitting. Write a threshold instead: a profit floor, a runway floor, and a date you check them. Research backs staying.
- July 24, 2026 · 10 min readWhen to kill a startup idea: the five gates that come before any score
Kill an idea when a must-pass gate clearly fails, or when even the optimistic end of its range is bad. The five gates and two rules our audit engine actually runs.
- July 20, 2026 · 7 min readYour AI wrapper isn't dead. But one model update could kill it — here's the test
'AI wrapper' isn't an insult — it's an unpriced risk. A 4-question test to tell whether the next model update makes your product better or redundant.
- July 19, 2026 · 8 min readYou can vibe-code it in a weekend. That's exactly why you should validate first
Vibe coding collapsed the cost of building — not the cost of building the wrong thing. Idea validation is now the whole game. How to do it in an afternoon.
- July 16, 2026 · 10 min readHow to price your product right: the Van Westendorp method
How to price your product right with the Van Westendorp Price Sensitivity Meter — the four questions, running the survey, reading the graph, and its limits.
- July 14, 2026 · 10 min readChatGPT validates you, not your idea
Sycophancy is structural, not a prompt bug. Why a chatbot can't tell you to kill your startup idea — and what real validation needs that a chat window lacks.
- July 14, 2026 · 7 min readIs it safe to share your business idea with ChatGPT?
Mostly yes — but idea theft is the wrong worry. The real risk is the answer you get back. What happens to what you type, and what to do instead.
- July 14, 2026 · 10 min readIs your market saturated? Read it off Google demand
Saturation isn't a competitor count — it's demand vs supply, and demand is public. A 5-step method to read a market off Google, no tooling required.
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